2017 Preview: Europe’s security and political risk outlook
For the European Union and the wider European region 2016 has been a year of intense political, social and economic tensions. The continent continues to be subject to the negative impact of crises...
View ArticleWhat next for Suu Kyi, Myanmar and the Rohingya?
The plight of the Rohingya once again dominates international media headlines. But even though Suu Kyi is reluctant to stop the attacks, geopolitical interests are likely to prevail over any desire to...
View ArticleTargeted sanctions on Myanmar would dash hopes of investment surge
The US is considering reinstating targeted sanctions on key figures in Myanmar. Investors could be hard pressed to find unsanctioned partners. Pressure is mounting for the US to take action against the...
View ArticleTrump and the ‘normalisation’ of relations with Cuba
On 8 November, Washington imposed fresh sanctions on Cuba, targeting the tourism and business industries. The latest actions of the Trump administration, while serving to erode Barack Obama’s...
View ArticleUnder the Radar: Hezbollah and Iran find new strength in Latin America
In the United States’ backyard, terrorists groups originating from the Middle East are increasingly cooperating with local criminal elements and drug cartels. What are Middle Eastern networks doing in...
View ArticleThe U.S. blacklist of Russian oligarchs: what is the real impact?
On 29 January, the deadline expires for the US Treasury, the State Department and intelligence services to submit a report that identifies persons close to the Russian government and their net worth....
View ArticleIndia and Russia: Triumf or sanctions?
New Delhi and Moscow recently concluded a USD 5 billion deal for military equipment. This deal leaves the United States with a dilemma of either sanctioning India under the Countering America’s...
View ArticleLessons from Hanoi with Prof Stephan Haggard
Donald Trump was widely criticised for walking away in Hanoi but the disappointing end of the summit holds prospects for a more realistic approach to denuclearisation. With input from Prof Stephan...
View ArticleBelarus: Democratic awakening in stalemate
While Belarusian strongman Lukashenko has held onto power since the highly contested August 2020 presidential election, public discontent with the regime has persisted in the face of police brutality...
View ArticleThe Risks of a Positive Agenda Between the EU and Turkey
In the aftermath of the 25-26 European Council Summit, the EU is clearly divided in its approach to Turkey. While some wish to see a more determined EU which supports its values and protects its Member...
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